Will Amazon say “Iran”?
Amazon did not say “Iran” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon did not say “Iran” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
12%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: anyone
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 42¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Amazon
Iran
- Probability
- 12% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Iran |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Amazon say “Iran” on its last earnings call?
- Amazon did not say “Iran” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), or on any of its last 8 calls.
- How often does Amazon say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon did not say “Iran” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Amazon says “Iran” next time?
- 12%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP