AMD (AMD): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 3, 2026

Tue, Nov 3Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptAMD

On its Nov 3, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), AMD said 15 of the 26 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 26 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

26 words · 15 settled yes · our count agreed on 26 of 26
Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability published before the event
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Revenue 15+ timesYes6868✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Data Center Yes6060✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Growth 10+ timesYes4646✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
CPU 20+ timesYes2525✓77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Helios Yes1619✓94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Memory / HBM Yes912✓95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Frontier Yes78✓62%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Inference / Inferencing Yes33✓95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
OpenAI / ChatGPT Yes33✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automotive / Automobile Yes33✓68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Meta Yes22✓77%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Healthcare Yes22✓76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Microsoft / Azure Yes11✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Oracle Yes11✓69%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Debt Yes11✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ timesNo2727✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
China No00✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Agentic AI No00✓81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
HPC / High-Performance Computing No00✓76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Export Restriction / Export Control No00✓49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Intel No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trump No00✓23%transcripts from the transcript model–
Dividend No00✓18%transcripts from the transcript model–
TSMC No00✓15%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nvidia No00✓13%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Nov 3, 2026 01:10 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

46 matches for “Growth”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Lisa Sucompanyprepared

…$13.4 billion, driven by record EPYC and Instinct sales and strong embedded growth. Earnings per share grew even faster, increasing 74% to $2.09. We executed…

Lisa Sucompanyprepared

…doubled year-over-year. We significantly exceeded our previous outlook of more than 80% growth as we gained revenue share. Customers deployed EPYC across more applications, with…

Lisa Sucompanyprepared

We now expect Data Center segment revenue growth to accelerate in the fourth quarter and full-year segment revenue to more than double from 2025. Our…

Lisa Sucompanyprepared

…Instinct deployment plans, and we have secured more supply to support that growth. We now expect server revenue to double year over year in 2027…

Lisa Sucompanyprepared

…in 2027 and to drive the majority of our revenue and earnings growth. Looking further out, customer engagements for MI500 continue to progress very well.

Where the listed words were said

Lisa Sucompany“Revenue (15+)” · prepared

…sequentially every quarter this year, with the segment contributing 64% of total revenue in the third quarter, up from 47% just one year ago. We…

Lisa Sucompany“Data Center” · prepared

…the TAM grows to approximately $220 billion by 2030. Turning to our Data Center AI business, Frontier Labs, hyperscalers, and cloud providers expanded Instinct deployments…

Lisa Sucompany“Growth (10+)” · prepared

…developers choose AMD to run and fine-tune models locally. We expect strong growth for Radeon AI PRO to continue, driven by our leadership performance per…

Lisa Sucompany“CPU (20+)” · prepared

…added significant EPYC capacity in the quarter for personal and enterprise agents, which are quickly becoming the next killer app for CPUs in the cloud.

Lisa Sucompany“Helios” · prepared

…online quickly. Customers are now running their latest models and workloads on Helios, and we are seeing very strong performance with the initial deployments. We…

Lisa Sucompany“Memory / HBM” · prepared

…these markets, with per-socket leadership for cloud and agents, per-core leadership for enterprise and head nodes, and memory and I/O options tuned to each workload.

Lisa Sucompany“Frontier” · prepared

…MI355X racks over a single weekend with strong performance. Our work with Frontier Labs is already enabling their models to handle complex software development and…

Lisa Sucompany“Inference / Inferencing” · prepared

…a highly experienced engineering team and specialized silicon built for low-latency, efficient inference. We plan to integrate their technology across our solutions portfolio to address…

Lisa Sucompany“OpenAI / ChatGPT” · prepared

As one example, OpenAI selected Turin EPYC processors as the host CPUs for its first custom accelerator platforms. In enterprise, EPYC server sell-through was a…

Lisa Sucompany“Automotive / Automobile” · prepared

…banks in the world and seven of the 10 largest healthcare and automotive companies now use Ryzen PRO PCs. OEMs continue expanding their AMD-based commercial…

Jean Hucompany“Debt” · prepared

…the quarter, cash equivalents, and short-term investment were $15.8 billion. Our total debt was $7.1 billion, including $4.75 billion senior notes offering we completed in…

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