Smithfield Foods (SFD): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 27, 2026

On its Oct 27, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Smithfield Foods said 11 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13
Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability published before the event
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Holiday Yes55✓90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nathan’s Famous Yes55✓82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hot Dog Yes55✓76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sioux Falls Yes56✓76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Export Yes45✓83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Eckrich Yes33✓82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Headwind Yes33✓80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Inflation Yes22✓89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tailwind Yes11✓71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff Yes11✓68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
China Yes11✓34%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Automation No00✓89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hot Honey No00✓28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 27, 2026 15:07 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

3 matches for “Mexico”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Shane Smithcompanyprepared

…export opportunities due to increasing pork supply in key markets such as Mexico and China, as well as ongoing tariffs. This has resulted in a…

Mark Hallcompanyprepared

…availability created a more competitive environment for U.S. pork exports, particularly in Mexico and Asia, which adversely impacted volume and sales margins. Turning to hog…

Donovan Owenscompanyqa

…some of the stats, you got global production up 0.7%. We've got Mexico up anywhere from 3%-5%. We've got total global protein production up 1%,…

Where the listed words were said

Shane Smithcompany“Holiday” · prepared

…Reserve label, three new brat flavors, and just in time for the holidays, cranberry brown sugar glazed spiral hams. The sales momentum continues for premium…

Shane Smithcompany“Nathan’s Famous” · prepared

…above $1 billion in operating profit. Second, we completed the acquisition of Nathan's Famous, bolstering our packaged meats portfolio, expanding our opportunities to grow this…

Shane Smithcompany“Hot Dog” · prepared

…bacon was up 0.9 points, packaged lunch meat was up 0.8 points, hot dogs up 0.7 points, and cooked dinner sausage up 0.2 points. In…

Mark Hallcompany“Sioux Falls” · prepared

…financial position. Capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2026 were $281 million, including $37 million related to the proposed new Sioux Falls facility.

Shane Smithcompany“Export” · qa

…are. Then you look globally and you also see that some key export markets remain really challenged right now. When we look at this current…

Shane Smithcompany“Eckrich” · prepared

…have increased our brand investment, focusing on our three national brands, Smithfield, Eckrich, and Nathan's. In August, we kicked off our new Eckrich marketing partnership…

Shane Smithcompany“Headwind” · prepared

…environment is our culture of continuous improvement. During the third quarter, inflationary headwinds persisted, but we were able to partially mitigate that through operational efficiency.…

Mark Hallcompany“Inflation” · qa

We do still see those consumer headwinds and persistent inflation in freight, diesel, and resin. Those are mitigating factors, but again, looking at a very…

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