Will United Airlines say “Oil”?
United Airlines said “Oil” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 6, 6 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Oil” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 79¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
United Airlines
Oil
- Probability
- 82% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…existing Chase agreement. We aim to recapture 100% of the price of oil in 2027. At United, we will continue to stay focused on our…
…point of the strength of our business and our balance sheet. Rising oil prices have impacted our near-term metrics, with our net leverage at 2.4x.…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
Given the recent run-up in oil, we felt it prudent to adjust our outlook to reflect the current environment. For the full year, we are…
…expect to be above the high end of both ranges. Additionally, given oil volatility, we expect crack spreads to remain elevated for the remainder of…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…as quickly as possible and to achieve double-digit pre-tax margins next year. Oil is incredibly volatile right now, but because we think we're moving towards…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did United Airlines say “Oil” on its last earnings call?
- United Airlines said “Oil” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 6, 6 times.
- How often does United Airlines say “Oil”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Oil” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability United Airlines says “Oil” next time?
- 82%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Oil’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP