Will TSMC say “Outlook”?
TSMC said “Outlook” 8 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 8, 7, 6, 5, 7, 8, 15, 8 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Outlook” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
Outlook
- Probability
- 95% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
Based on the current business outlook, we expect our fourth quarter revenue to be between $52.3 billion and $54.3 billion, which represents a 14% sequential…
…Wendell. Good afternoon, everyone. First, let me start with our near-term demand outlook. We concluded our third quarter with a revenue of $46.7 billion, higher…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
15 counted (15 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Let's turn to the current quarter guidance. Based on the current business outlook, we expect our third quarter revenue to be between $44.6 billion and…
…Wendell. Good afternoon, everyone. First, let me start with our near-term demand outlook. We concluded our second quarter with revenue of $40.2 billion at the…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Based on the current business outlook, we expect our second quarter revenue to be between $39.0 billion-$40.2 billion, which represents a 10% sequential increase or…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Outlook |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did TSMC say “Outlook” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC said “Outlook” 8 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 8, 7, 6, 5, 7, 8, 15, 8 times.
- How often does TSMC say “Outlook”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Outlook” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability TSMC says “Outlook” next time?
- 95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘Outlook’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/outlook (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=outlook · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP