Will TSMC say “Nanometer”?
TSMC did not say “Nanometer” on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 22, 24, 34, 10, 21, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Nanometer” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
Nanometer
- Probability
- 83% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
16 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…and ROE was 38.8%. Now let's move on to revenue by technology. 3-nanometer process technology contributed of 28% of wafer revenue in the fourth quarter,…
…basis, 3-nanometer revenue contribution came in at 24% of 2025 wafer revenue, 5-nanometer, 36% and 7-nanometer, 14%. Advanced technologies accounted for 74% of total wafer…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…and ROE was 37.8%. Now let's move on to revenue by technology. 3-nanometer process technology contributed 23% of wafer revenue in the third quarter, while…
…support from the Taiwan government, we are preparing for multiple phases of 2-nanometer fab in both Hsinchu and Kaohsiung Science Parks. We will continue to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
34 counted (32 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…NT as our business was supported by strong demand for our industry-leading 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies, partially offset by an unfavorable foreign exchange rate. In…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Nanometer |  Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How many times did TSMC say “Nanometer” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC did not say “Nanometer” on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 22, 24, 34, 10, 21, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does TSMC say “Nanometer”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Nanometer” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability TSMC says “Nanometer” next time?
- 83%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘Nanometer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/nanometer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=nanometer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP