Will TSMC say “HPC”?

TSMC said “HPC” 4 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 7, 11, 4, 10, 8, 4, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “HPC” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

93%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

TSMC

HPC

Probability
93% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 15, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Wendell HuangcompanypreparedIn transcript

…for 79% of wafer revenue. Moving on to revenue contribution by platform. HPC increased 22% quarter-over-quarter to account for 68% of our third-quarter revenue. Smartphone…

C.C. WeicompanypreparedIn transcript

…than double in 2027, supported by strong demand from both smartphone and HPC AI applications. We are also leveraging our manufacturing excellence to generate more…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Wendell HuangcompanypreparedIn transcript

…for 77% of wafer revenue. Moving on to revenue contribution by platform. HPC increased 20% quarter-over-quarter to account for 66% of our second quarter revenue.…

Wendell HuangcompanypreparedIn transcript

…the multi-year structural demand from the industry megatrends of 5G, AI, and HPC. Given the continued strong structural demand from our customers, including the newly…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2026 · said 8 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

8 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Wendell HuangcompanypreparedIn transcript

…for 74% of wafer revenue. Moving on to revenue contribution by platform. HPC increased 20% quarter-over-quarter to account for 61% of our first quarter revenue.…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2026 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 16, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 16, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 16, 2025HPCKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did TSMC say “HPC” on its last earnings call?
TSMC said “HPC” 4 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 7, 11, 4, 10, 8, 4, 4 times.
How often does TSMC say “HPC”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “HPC” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
What is the probability TSMC says “HPC” next time?
93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘HPC’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/hpc (CC BY 4.0)

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