Will Tesla say “Optimus” 3+ times?
Tesla said “Optimus” 43 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 38, 16, 25, 37, 31, 29, 57, 43 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Optimus” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Optimus 3+ times
- Probability
- 95% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
41 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 32 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…concert recently. This is really going to a very good place. Regarding Optimus, we've started what I'd call early production on our high-volume line in…
…the design that are changing. A lot of people ask me about Optimus. That's why I think I've got to sort of belabor this point,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
52 counted (39 in prepared remarks, 13 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…we also have started production. Well, we will soon start production with Optimus. We have started production with the Tesla Semi truck. We will soon…
It's a very high compound growth rate. Let's see, Optimus. As you've heard me say before, I think Optimus will be the biggest product ever.…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
26 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 17 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…in the future. Of course, a very significant increase. Well, actually releasing Optimus, but increasing our internal production for testing, and then probably being able…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Optimus 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 37 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Optimus” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Optimus” 43 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 38, 16, 25, 37, 31, 29, 57, 43 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Optimus 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Optimus” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Optimus 3+ times” next time?
- 95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Optimus 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/optimus-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=optimus%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP