Will SpaceX say “Launch” 10+ times?
SpaceX said “Launch” 27 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 10+ times on each of its last 2 calls: 16, 27 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Launch” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Launch 10+ times
- Probability
- 78% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
27 counted (25 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
Thank you. We are in an inflection moment for SpaceX across launch connectivity and superintelligence. Starting with Starship, flight 14 was a critical milestone. Starship…
…If we succeed, it will be the first time that an orbital launch vehicle has been fully recovered. This is a massive technology milestone. The…
Counts: anyone
16 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…competitors to copy us. We do nothing to slow them down. We launch competing satellite constellations at fair prices, the same price we charge everyone.
…V2 satellite, which was already a very capable satellite. We expect to launch about an order of magnitude more Starlink V3 satellites. That would mean…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Launch 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 16 |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Launch” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Launch” 27 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 10+ times on each of its last 2 calls: 16, 27 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Launch 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Launch” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Launch 10+ times” next time?
- 78%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Launch 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/launch-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=launch%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP