Will PayPal say “De Minimis”?

PayPal said “De Minimis” 7 times on its Oct 27, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 7 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on PayPal saying “De Minimis” has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.

56%from transcript modelNext: Earnings call, Feb 2, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

PayPal

De Minimis

Probability
56% · n=0
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jamie MillercompanypreparedIn transcript

…in Germany. As we communicated in September, the removal of the EU de minimis tax exemption impacted select merchants and created about 70 basis points…

Jamie MillercompanypreparedIn transcript

…as FX favorability contributing to performance, offset in part by higher contra revenue investments made in the quarter and the de minimis headwinds mentioned earlier.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 28, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jamie MillercompanyqaIn transcript

…and services, so diversification there as well. But when you talk about de minimis, the way I’d size that for you, our Chinese merchants selling…

Ramsey El-AssalanalystqaIn transcript

…for taking my question this morning. I wanted to ask about the de minimis tariff exemption for China - I think that’s scheduled to be…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

Questions

How many times did PayPal say “De Minimis” on its last earnings call?
PayPal said “De Minimis” 7 times on its Oct 27, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 7 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “PayPal: ‘De Minimis’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PYPL/words/de-minimis (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=paypal&word=de%20minimis · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=paypal&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP