Will Netflix say “Guidance”?

Netflix said “Guidance” 6 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 2, 3, 2, 3, 3, 7, 2, 6 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Guidance” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

90%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Netflix

Guidance

Probability
90% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).

Greg Peterscompanyqa · 4:10Hear it 4:06, Greg Peters In transcript

…seen results that are consistent with past changes and our expectations. Consistent with all that performance, we do plan on delivering our full year guidance.

Spence Neumanncompanyqa · 15:28Hear it 15:25, Spence Neumann In transcript

…to deliver healthy growth. So, it's premature to issue full year 2027 guidance. We'll do that on our next call or our Q4 call. But…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Spencer Wangcompanyprepared · 0:25Hear it 0:23, Spencer Wang In transcript

…submitted by the analyst community. We'll begin with a question on our guidance and our business outlook. This question comes, "Driver of FX-neutral revenue growth…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Spencer WangcompanypreparedIn transcript

…of MoffettNathanson. His question is, "Can you speak to your full-year margin guidance and how it compares to prior guidance with the Warner Brothers deal…

Greg PeterscompanypreparedIn transcript

…solid momentum and results from 2025. Given that, we are maintaining our guidance, our strong outlook for organic growth that we established for 2026. That's…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 20, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2025GuidanceKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Netflix say “Guidance” on its last earnings call?
Netflix said “Guidance” 6 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 2, 3, 2, 3, 3, 7, 2, 6 times.
How often does Netflix say “Guidance”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Guidance” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2025.
What is the probability Netflix says “Guidance” next time?
90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Netflix: ‘Guidance’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NFLX/words/guidance (CC BY 4.0)

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