Will Micron say “Idaho”?
Micron said “Idaho” 1 time on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 3, 2, 5, 2, 4, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron said “Idaho” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Micron
Idaho
- Probability
- 84% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…though we are going to be having first wafer output from our Idaho facility mid-calendar 2027, and others in the industry as well may be…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
That goes for Idaho One, for Tongluo, for Idaho Two. Those are all elements of that greenfield build-out, and that's something that we expect will…
…will just be a function, the various ramp profiles of fabs. As you point out, Tongluo and Idaho One are the first to go here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…by 2026. We continue to expect initial wafer output at our first Idaho fab in mid-calendar 2027, and ground preparation has begun for our second…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Micron say “Idaho” on its last earnings call?
- Micron said “Idaho” 1 time on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 3, 2, 5, 2, 4, 1 times.
- How often does Micron say “Idaho”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron said “Idaho” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Micron says “Idaho” next time?
- 84%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Micron: ‘Idaho’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MU/words/idaho (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=micron&word=idaho · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=micron&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP