Will JPMorgan say “M&A”?

JPMorgan did not say “M&A” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 2, 0, 3, 3, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan said “M&A” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

57%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 14, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
58¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JPMorgan

M&A

Probability
57% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 14, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jeremy Barnumcompanyprepared · 3:37Hear it 3:31, Jeremy Barnum In transcript

…some large ECM deals and the acceleration of the closure of some M&A transactions, the pipeline remains quite robust, and the current activity levels seem…

Jamie Dimoncompanyqa · 49:57Hear it 49:56, Jamie Dimon In transcript

…weakness over organic, which I think companies do sometimes. They bullshit about M&A when they should be focusing on why they're not doing particularly well…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 14, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Jeremy Barnumcompanyprepared · 7:46Hear it 7:40, Jeremy Barnum In transcript

…color, IB fees were up 28% year-on-year, driven by strong performance across M&A and equity underwriting, partially offset by lower debt underwriting. Looking ahead, client…

Jamie Dimoncompanyqa · 58:23Hear it 58:22, Jamie Dimon In transcript

…in the ways that they need it over time. That could be M&A, it could be countries, it could be helping them build the infrastructure…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 13, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Jeremy Barnumcompanyqa · 48:44Hear it 48:40, Jeremy Barnum In transcript

…the meantime, as you know, we are starting to see more M and A activity as well. I noted earlier, I think it was busiest…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 11, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 13, 2026M&APolymarketNo0
Jan 13, 2026M&AKalshiNo0
Oct 14, 2025M&AKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did JPMorgan say “M&A” on its last earnings call?
JPMorgan did not say “M&A” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 2, 0, 3, 3, 0 times.
How often does JPMorgan say “M&A”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan said “M&A” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025.
What is the probability JPMorgan says “M&A” next time?
57%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “JPMorgan: ‘M&A’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/JPM/words/m-and-a (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jpmorgan&word=m%26a · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jpmorgan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP