Will General Motors say “Tariff”?
General Motors said “Tariff” 9 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 20, 26, 26, 19, 21, 9, 9 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, General Motors said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 96% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 89¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
General Motors
Tariff
- Probability
- 96% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
9 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…up $1.7 billion year-over-year. The improvement was driven by higher earnings and tariff timing. Regarding EV charges, as I mentioned last quarter, we moved quickly…
…was 8.7%, an improvement of 2.5 points from a year ago when tariffs were first put into place. Having worked through much of that pressure,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
9 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…reduction by 400 basis points. All of this includes the impact of tariffs. We haven't made excuses. We've just continued to perform. At the same…
…onshoring significant manufacturing starting next year, which will bring our U.S. production capacity to more than 2 million units and further reduce our tariff exposure.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
21 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A).
…of benefit from the accounting adjustment resulting from the recent Supreme Court tariff decision. This nets to an 8.6% margin. Complementing our performance in GM…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did General Motors say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- General Motors said “Tariff” 9 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 20, 26, 26, 19, 21, 9, 9 times.
- How often does General Motors say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, General Motors said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability General Motors says “Tariff” next time?
- 96%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “General Motors: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GM/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=general-motors&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=general-motors&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP