Will FedEx say “Fuel”?

FedEx said “Fuel” 18 times on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 9, 6, 4, 4, 5, 1, 22, 18 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Fuel” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 20, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

95%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FedEx

Fuel

Probability
95% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jun 23, 2026 · said 18 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

18 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.

Raj Subramaniamcompanyprepared · 7:22Hear it 7:16, Raj Subramaniam In transcript

…13%. The revenue strength I just mentioned offset the impact of higher fuel costs and variable compensation. Against this backdrop, today we are initiating an…

Brie Carerecompanyprepared · 13:25Hear it 13:21, Brie Carere In transcript

…our commercial strategy. This growth includes a 5 percentage point benefit from fuel price-driven surcharge revenue. As a reminder, fuel was not a material driver…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Mar 19, 2026 · said 22 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

22 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 14 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.

Rajesh SubramaniamcompanypreparedIn transcript

…a quarter with significant package volume growth, we reduced net capacity, jet fuel usage and vehicle fuel usage, signaling our success in densifying this network.…

Brie CarerecompanypreparedIn transcript

…supported by machine learning tools that improve accuracy. Additionally, the adjustment to fuel surcharge we put in place in December supported our Q3 results. At…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Dec 18, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brie CarerecompanypreparedIn transcript

…protect network integrity and service reliability. On December 1, we implemented a fuel surcharge adjustment to partially mitigate the added cost required to maintaining high-quality…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Sep 18, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jun 24, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Mar 20, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Dec 19, 2024 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Sep 19, 2024 · said 9 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 20, 2025FuelKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did FedEx say “Fuel” on its last earnings call?
FedEx said “Fuel” 18 times on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 9, 6, 4, 4, 5, 1, 22, 18 times.
How often does FedEx say “Fuel”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Fuel” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 20, 2025.
What is the probability FedEx says “Fuel” next time?
95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “FedEx: ‘Fuel’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FDX/words/fuel (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fedex&word=fuel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fedex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP