Dow (DOW)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 23:51 UTC

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Polymarket has settled 19 word markets on Dow’s earnings calls since 2026, on 19 different words.

History Wall

1–19 of 19, most settled first

Dow: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Q4’24Jan '25	Q1’25Apr '25	Q2’25Jul '25	Q3’25Oct '25	Q4’25Jan '26	Q1’26Apr '26	Q2’26Jul '26	Q3’26last call	Trend	Last 8	Scripted	All-time	Probability
Capacity	6 times: Capacity, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	17 times: Capacity, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	17 times: Capacity, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	23 times: Capacity, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	18 times: Capacity, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	6 times: Capacity, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	8 times: Capacity, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	19 times: Capacity, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	8/8100%	71/7299%	96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Chinaevery call	10 times: China, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	12 times: China, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	10 times: China, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	20 times: China, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	6 times: China, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	1 time: China, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	5 times: China, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	5 times: China, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	falling	8/8100%	7/888%	72/72100%	90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Demand10+ times	28 times: Demand 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	40 times: Demand 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	26 times: Demand 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	30 times: Demand 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	23 times: Demand 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	8 times: Demand 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, below the threshold	18 times: Demand 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	13 times: Demand 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	falling	7/888%	6/875%	66/7292%	72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Infrastructure	12 times: Infrastructure, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	13 times: Infrastructure, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	14 times: Infrastructure, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	11 times: Infrastructure, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	6 times: Infrastructure, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	2 times: Infrastructure, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	3 times: Infrastructure, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	7 times: Infrastructure, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	falling	8/8100%	8/8100%	70/7297%	90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Marginevery call 5+ times	13 times: Margin 5+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	21 times: Margin 5+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	26 times: Margin 5+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	13 times: Margin 5+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	18 times: Margin 5+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	8 times: Margin 5+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	22 times: Margin 5+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	11 times: Margin 5+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	7/888%	72/72100%	86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Packaging	6 times: Packaging, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	8 times: Packaging, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	7 times: Packaging, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	15 times: Packaging, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	9 times: Packaging, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	1 time: Packaging, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	5 times: Packaging, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	8 times: Packaging, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	8/8100%	70/7297%	92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Quarterevery call 10+ times	60 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said	64 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	53 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	51 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	35 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	13 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said	79 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	69 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	7/888%	72/72100%	90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Win	0 times: Win, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Win, Q1’25 Apr '25	1 time: Win, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	2 times: Win, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	2 times: Win, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	0 times: Win, Q1’26 Apr '26	5 times: Win, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said	2 times: Win, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	5/862%	5/862%	31/7243%	76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
AI / Artificial Intelligence	0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Jan '25	1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said	2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said	2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said	14 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said	0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jul '26	4 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	5/862%	2/825%	8/7211%	74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Carbon5+ times	0 times: Carbon 5+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Carbon 5+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25	1 time: Carbon 5+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, below the threshold	1 time: Carbon 5+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, below the threshold	4 times: Carbon 5+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, below the threshold	0 times: Carbon 5+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26	3 times: Carbon 5+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, below the threshold	0 times: Carbon 5+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26	rising	0/80%	0/80%	11/7215%	11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Fiscalnever said 10+ times	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	0/720%	2%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Incomenever said 10+ times	1 time: Income 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, below the threshold	0 times: Income 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25	5 times: Income 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, below the threshold	0 times: Income 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Income 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Income 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Income 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Income 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26	falling	0/80%	0/80%	0/720%	2%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Iran	0 times: Iran, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Iran, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Iran, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Iran, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Iran, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Iran, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Iran, Q2’26 Jul '26	1 time: Iran, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said	rising	1/812%	0/80%	7/7210%	26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Lawsuit	0 times: Lawsuit, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Lawsuit, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Lawsuit, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Lawsuit, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Lawsuit, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Lawsuit, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Lawsuit, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Lawsuit, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	1/721%	12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Monopolynever said	0 times: Monopoly, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Monopoly, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Monopoly, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Monopoly, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Monopoly, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Monopoly, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Monopoly, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Monopoly, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	0/720%	12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Profitnever said 10+ times	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Profit 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	0/720%	2%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Revenue10+ times	2 times: Revenue 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, below the threshold	0 times: Revenue 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Revenue 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25	2 times: Revenue 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, below the threshold	1 time: Revenue 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, below the threshold	2 times: Revenue 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, below the threshold	1 time: Revenue 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, below the threshold	2 times: Revenue 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, below the threshold	rising	0/80%	0/80%	1/721%	6%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Surge	0 times: Surge, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Surge, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Surge, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Surge, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Surge, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Surge, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Surge, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Surge, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	12/7217%	12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Trump	0 times: Trump, Q4’24 Jan '25	0 times: Trump, Q1’25 Apr '25	0 times: Trump, Q2’25 Jul '25	0 times: Trump, Q3’25 Oct '25	0 times: Trump, Q4’25 Jan '26	0 times: Trump, Q1’26 Apr '26	0 times: Trump, Q2’26 Jul '26	0 times: Trump, Q3’26 Oct '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	2/723%	12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts

• times said on that call
• counted as said (ring)
• no call
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Trend

how the count moved over these calls

Scripted

calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks

All-time

every call on file

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Dow (DOW): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DOW (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/dow · words: /api/v1/history?entity=dow · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP