Will Dow say “Margin” 5+ times?

Dow said “Margin” 11 times on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 5+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 21, 26, 13, 18, 8, 22, 11 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Dow said “Margin” 5+ times on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 86% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

86%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Dow

Margin 5+ times

Probability
86% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 · said 11 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

8 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Karen S. CartercompanypreparedIn transcript

…demand for energy applications and AI infrastructure is supporting improved pricing and margins. We are seeing growth in the Performance Materials & Coatings segment, driven…

Jeff TatecompanypreparedIn transcript

…last year. This was primarily driven by higher polyethylene prices, improved integrated margins, and benefits from our self-help initiatives. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics business…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 · said 22 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

22 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 16 in Q&A).

Karen S. CartercompanypreparedIn transcript

…we translated improved market fundamentals and disciplined execution into meaningful earnings growth, margin expansion, and cash generation. Net sales were $12.1 billion, reflecting a 20%…

Jeff TatecompanypreparedIn transcript

…into segment results, Dow's second quarter earnings reflect pricing leadership, better integrated margins, improved cash flow, and the benefit of our self-help initiatives. This all…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · said 8 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jim FitterlingcompanypreparedIn transcript

…that delivers through periods of volatility, and one that focuses on capturing upside, improving margins, and outperforming our peers to effectively reset the competitive benchmark.

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · said 18 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2025 · said 13 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · said 26 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · said 21 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · said 13 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 23, 2026Margin 5+ timesPolymarketYes22

Questions

How many times did Dow say “Margin” on its last earnings call?
Dow said “Margin” 11 times on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 5+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 21, 26, 13, 18, 8, 22, 11 times.
How often does Dow say “Margin 5+ times”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Dow said “Margin” 5+ times on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026.
What is the probability Dow says “Margin 5+ times” next time?
86%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Dow: ‘Margin 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DOW/words/margin-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

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