Will Dow say “China”?
Dow said “China” 5 times on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 12, 10, 20, 6, 1, 5, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Dow said “China” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Dow
China
- Probability
- 90% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
In silicones, we are expanding capabilities across the U.S., China, and Japan to serve electronics and mobility markets, including engineered silicone and silicone rubber capacity…
…by more than five days. Inventory declined by over 400 million pounds. China is back in the market. From a Dow perspective, our sales grew…
Counts: anyone
5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
In the energy space, refinery operations are normalizing in China, improving energy availability across the region. Globally, a supportive but higher cost feedstock environment paired…
…energy inventories being at critical levels. As I take a look at China, it seems China, through Q2 at least, produced less, call it polyethylene…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…indication of real demand, not local price. As Jim just indicated, in China in particular, they are starting to restrict the feedstock that is going…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | China |  Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did Dow say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Dow said “China” 5 times on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 12, 10, 20, 6, 1, 5, 5 times.
- How often does Dow say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Dow said “China” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Dow says “China” next time?
- 90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Dow: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DOW/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=dow&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=dow&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP