Will Applied Materials say “Forecast”?
Applied Materials said “Forecast” 11 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 7, 0, 3, 4, 0, 5, 11 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Applied Materials saying “Forecast” has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 93¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceApplied Materials
Forecast
- Probability
- 84% · n=0
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
11 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A).
…three months, we have again made upward revisions to our revenue growth forecast for the year, and we are confident we will grow faster than…
…ramps, our largest customers are giving us longer-term commitments and rolling eight-quarter forecasts. This increased demand visibility gives us high confidence that 2027 will be…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…our customers on longer-range planning. Our largest customers are providing rolling 8-quarter forecasts. We can prepare the required manufacturing capacity and service resources for their…
…positions, and logistics capacity. We are systematically translating our eight-quarter customer demand forecast into a consolidated signal to our suppliers, ensuring they have the visibility…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…that in turn, significantly increase demand for AI compute capacity. Recent third-party forecasts predict that the semiconductor industry will grow at a compound annual rate…
Questions
- How many times did Applied Materials say “Forecast” on its last earnings call?
- Applied Materials said “Forecast” 11 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 7, 0, 3, 4, 0, 5, 11 times.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Applied Materials: ‘Forecast’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMAT/words/forecast (CC BY 4.0)
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