Duolingo (DUOL): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 3, 2026

On its Nov 3, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Duolingo said 4 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13
Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability published before the event
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Tutor Yes1010✓45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Chess Yes911✓89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Free Trial Yes45✓79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
100 Million Yes11✓72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
China / Chinese No00✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Music No00✓82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Asia No00✓78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
LinkedIn No00✓34%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
ChatGPT No00✓31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Speaking Adventure No00✓27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Spotify No00✓27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Flashcard No00✓20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
McDonald's No00✓20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Nov 3, 2026 00:41 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

5 matches for “Brawl Stars”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Luis von Ahncompanyqa

…to call out. One of them was the streak revival last quarter. This quarter, we had the partnerships with Brawl Stars and also Eggy Party.

Luis von Ahncompanyqa

…the way these partnerships work is that you are a player of Brawl Stars or whatever the game that is partnering with us is. You…

Omar Dessoukyanalystqa

…wanted to elaborate a little bit on the gaming partnerships. You highlighted Brawl Stars and Eggy Party, which you said brought in millions of new…

Luis von Ahncompanyqa

…is just cross-promotion. For certain games, certainly the case for Supercell and Brawl Stars, they do a lot of things to keep their game fresh.…

Where the listed words were said

Luis von Ahncompany“Tutor” · qa

…now. But we are today not as good as a one-on-one human tutor. Nothing has gotten as good as a one-on-one. A good one-on-one human…

Luis von Ahncompany“Chess” · qa

…more that way. Another thing that we are really excited about is, Chess is completely under-monetized. We are going to be monetizing it. Chess, we…

Luis von Ahncompany“Free Trial” · qa

…we have found a number of them. One of them is longer free trials, like you mentioned. There are others, for example, monetizing the Avatar…

Gillian Munsoncompany“100 Million” · qa

…about 60% of our non-comp marketing spend, which is a bit over $100 million. We are profitable on that marketing spend, but we continue to…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/duolingo:2026-11-03:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=duolingo:2026-11-03:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP