Will Duolingo say “Chess”?

Duolingo said “Chess” 3 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 21, 10, 10, 11, 2, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Duolingo said “Chess” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

89%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
79¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Duolingo

Chess

Probability
89% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Luis von AhncompanypreparedIn transcript

…learners back to a product that keeps getting better at teaching languages, Chess, Math, and Music, and they're staying. We're still early in executing our…

Luis von AhncompanyqaIn transcript

…excited about both of those. I should say, certainly when compared to Chess, even though they do have single-digit millions of DAUs, they're much smaller…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 4, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Luis von AhncompanyqaIn transcript

…know, unique challenges and unique things. For sure, AI is helping us be able to add new subjects faster, and chess is a great example.

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2026 · said 11 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

11 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Luis von Ahn ArellanocompanypreparedIn transcript

…feeding our next growth engines, meaning our subjects of math, music and chess. All of this is in service of growing DAUs faster. Our medium-term…

Luis von Ahn ArellanocompanyqaIn transcript

…in our new growth engines. That's our new subjects. So in particular, chess has grown quite a bit. As I said in our shareholder letter,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 6, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 2, 2025 · said 21 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026ChessKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Duolingo say “Chess” on its last earnings call?
Duolingo said “Chess” 3 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 21, 10, 10, 11, 2, 3 times.
How often does Duolingo say “Chess”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Duolingo said “Chess” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability Duolingo says “Chess” next time?
89%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Duolingo: ‘Chess’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DUOL/words/chess (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=duolingo&word=chess · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=duolingo&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP