Will Duolingo say “100 Million”?
Duolingo said “100 Million” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 4, 0, 4 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Duolingo said “100 Million” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Duolingo
100 Million
- Probability
- 72% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…executing well in an important investment year. We remain focused on reaching 100 million DAUs in 2028, and we believe the path there can create…
…said many times, if we can get to a company that is 100 million daily active users, that's just a much bigger business, and that's…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…in service of growing DAUs faster. Our medium-term goal is to reach 100 million daily active users in 2028. If we succeed in doubling our…
…what are the top priorities that will allow us to get to 100 million daily active users by 2028. It's a number of things. In…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…spending some in the U.S. Again, we're not going to be spending $100 million in the U.S. or anything like that. These are small amounts.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | 100 Million |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did Duolingo say “100 Million” on its last earnings call?
- Duolingo said “100 Million” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 4, 0, 4 times.
- How often does Duolingo say “100 Million”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Duolingo said “100 Million” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Duolingo says “100 Million” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Duolingo: ‘100 Million’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DUOL/words/100-million (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=duolingo&word=100%20million · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=duolingo&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP