Duolingo (DUOL): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 3, 2026
On its Nov 3, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Duolingo said 4 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tutor | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Chess | Yes | 9 | 11 | ✓ | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Free Trial | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| 100 Million | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Music | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Asia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| ChatGPT | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Speaking Adventure | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Spotify | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Flashcard | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| McDonald's | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Nov 3, 2026 00:41 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
2 matches for “Avatar Suit”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…of them. One of them is longer free trials, like you mentioned. There are others, for example, monetizing the Avatar Suits, like we talked about.
…most of our events are first-party events. These are our own things that we're going to do, things like Avatar Suits and stuff like that.
Where the listed words were said
…now. But we are today not as good as a one-on-one human tutor. Nothing has gotten as good as a one-on-one. A good one-on-one human…
…more that way. Another thing that we are really excited about is, Chess is completely under-monetized. We are going to be monetizing it. Chess, we…
…thing is we know that when people try Video Call during the free trial, for certain types of Video Calls that we tailor to the…
…about 60% of our non-comp marketing spend, which is a bit over $100 million. We are profitable on that marketing spend, but we continue to…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/duolingo:2026-11-03:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=duolingo:2026-11-03:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP