Will United Airlines say “Weather”?

United Airlines did not say “Weather” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Weather” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (40%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Jan 20, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
33¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=weather

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

United Airlines

Weather

Probability
28% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brett Hartcompanyprepared · 5:22Hear it 5:20, Brett Hart In transcript

…passengers while also navigating a challenging operating environment. The quarter experienced elevated weather events and geopolitical disruptions, but our teams remain laser-focused on recovering…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brett HartcompanypreparedIn transcript

…in the quarter. Even with these volumes as well as significant summer weather disruptions and system-wide ATC challenges, our operation was resilient this quarter. The…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Torbjorn J. EnqvistcompanypreparedIn transcript

…week when all the New York City airports were hit with severe weather, it disrupted a lot of travel plans and got a lot of…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Find “Weather” in this transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026WeatherKalshiNo0
Jul 16, 2026WeatherKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2026WeatherKalshiYes1
Jan 21, 2026WeatherPolymarketNo0
Jan 21, 2026WeatherKalshiNo0
Oct 16, 2025WeatherKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did United Airlines say “Weather” on its last earnings call?
United Airlines did not say “Weather” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does United Airlines say “Weather”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Weather” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (40%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
What is the probability United Airlines says “Weather” next time?
28%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Weather’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/weather (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=weather · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP