Will United Airlines say “Tariff”?
United Airlines did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines did not say “Tariff” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 21¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
United Airlines
Tariff
- Probability
- 15% · n=5
- Settled
- 0/5 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…geopolitical situation in the Middle East appears to have stabilized. And while tariffs are not yet certain, I think the market and most businesses have…
…industry, things happen. Fuel prices spike, there's an ebb and flow in tariffs. There's lots of things that change. And so it is important to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…We operate in a dynamic and evolving landscape. Global trade policies, including tariffs, are shaping that landscape, and as Scott mentioned, broader economic uncertainties remain…
…Alabama. As such, we don't currently anticipate a meaningful direct impact from tariffs relating to aircraft purchases. Turning to our performance this quarter, we are…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…are early into the Trump administration. So we'll see what happens with tariffs and such. But just like my comments about what's going to happen…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did United Airlines say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- United Airlines did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does United Airlines say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines did not say “Tariff” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability United Airlines says “Tariff” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP