Will United Airlines say “On-Time / On Time”?
United Airlines said “On-Time / On Time” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 3, 2, 4, 4, 2, 4, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “On-Time / On Time” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 88% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
United Airlines
On-Time / On Time
- Probability
- 88% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…operation and get our customers to their destinations. United ranked second in on-time departures for the third quarter, with United being first among the top…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…highest being over 640,000 customers carried on June 18th. We had top-tier on-time departures for the sixth consecutive quarter, ranking second amongst our largest U.S.…
For the month of June, Newark ranked number one in on-time arrivals, delivered its best on-time departure rate ever, and its lowest seat cancellation rate…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…In the first quarter, we continued our streak of ranking first in on-time departures among the eight largest U.S. carriers. During the quarter, United's per-seat…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | On-Time / On Time |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | On-Time / On Time |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | On-Time / On Time | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | On-Time / On Time | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did United Airlines say “On-Time / On Time” on its last earnings call?
- United Airlines said “On-Time / On Time” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 3, 2, 4, 4, 2, 4, 1 times.
- How often does United Airlines say “On-Time / On Time”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “On-Time / On Time” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability United Airlines says “On-Time / On Time” next time?
- 88%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘On-Time / On Time’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/on-time (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=on%20time · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP