Will United Airlines say “Newark”?

United Airlines said “Newark” 3 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 37, 8, 6, 1, 2, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Newark” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 85% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

85%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Jan 20, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
82¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

United Airlines

Newark

Probability
85% · n=5
Settled
5/5 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Andrew Nocellacompanyprepared · 12:57Hear it 12:51, Andrew Nocella In transcript

…more color in RASM strength in Q3, Central America, the Caribbean, Florida, Newark, and London were strong RASM tailwinds in the quarter. In fact, Florida…

Scott Kirbycompanyqa · 46:29Hear it 46:29, Scott Kirby In transcript

…best, we're the most reliable airline in each one of our hubs. Newark is now the most reliable of the three New York airports. We've…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brett Hartcompanyprepared · 5:03Hear it 5:00, Brett Hart In transcript

…also had our lowest second quarter seat cancellation rate in company history. Notably, we saw meaningful improvements at our Newark hub, our busiest global gateway.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Andrew Nocellacompanyqa · 30:31Hear it 30:26, Andrew Nocella In transcript

…points are being absorbed and passed through, and volumes are increasing. For United, you'll recall we had the unique headwind last year related to Newark.

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 16, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · said 37 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026NewarkKalshiYes3
Jul 16, 2026NewarkKalshiYes2
Apr 22, 2026NewarkKalshiYes1
Jan 21, 2026NewarkPolymarketYes7
Jan 21, 2026NewarkKalshiYes6
Oct 16, 2025NewarkKalshiYes8

Questions

How many times did United Airlines say “Newark” on its last earnings call?
United Airlines said “Newark” 3 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 37, 8, 6, 1, 2, 3 times.
How often does United Airlines say “Newark”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Newark” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability United Airlines says “Newark” next time?
85%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Newark’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/newark (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=newark · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP