Will United Airlines say “Middle East”?
United Airlines did not say “Middle East” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Middle East” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
United Airlines
Middle East
- Probability
- 41% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
We will continue to closely monitor the situation in the Middle East, but in interim, this cap will provide us plenty of flexibility. We ended…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
We compete with some really good airlines in the Middle East and Asia, and they have some advantages that we don't have, and like I…
On demand, look, putting the Middle East aside, we're seeing strength everywhere. What I'll point out is we're really seeing strength in premium cabins, going…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…is settled after the reconciliation bill passed. The geopolitical situation in the Middle East appears to have stabilized. And while tariffs are not yet certain,…
…outlook is quite achievable and maybe even conservative. We're hopeful that cooled Middle East tensions will allow a full schedule to Tel Aviv soon. We…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Middle East |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Middle East | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Middle East | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did United Airlines say “Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- United Airlines did not say “Middle East” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0 times.
- How often does United Airlines say “Middle East”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Middle East” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026.
- What is the probability United Airlines says “Middle East” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP