Will United Airlines say “Holiday”?
United Airlines did not say “Holiday” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Holiday” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 76¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
United Airlines
Holiday
- Probability
- 34% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…high note. United delivered the best operation in the industry over the holidays, ranking #1 in on-time departures and on-time arrivals. We canceled less than…
…help customers return home, an outstanding way to close out the busy holiday season. 2025 is a year we should all be proud of, especially…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…fewer Red Eye flights and tended more capacity from the July 4 holiday to name a few, in pursuit of higher margins. I also expect…
…where schedules are shaping up? Can you just give us a little bit of data on the booking curve and how the holidays are looking?
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…customers were counting on us to get them home safely for the holidays, we closed out the month of December ranked number #1 in on-time…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did United Airlines say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
- United Airlines did not say “Holiday” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does United Airlines say “Holiday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Holiday” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability United Airlines says “Holiday” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP