Will TSMC say “Tariff”?
TSMC did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 19, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
Tariff
- Probability
- 42% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we understand there are uncertainties and risk from the potential impact of tariff policies and rising component prices, especially in consumer-related and price-sensitive end market…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we understand there are uncertainties and risk from the potential impact of tariff policies, especially in consumer-related and price-sensitive end market segment. As such, we…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we understand there are uncertainties and risk from the potential impact of tariff policies, especially on consumer- related and price-sensitive end market segment. While we…
…HPC platform. Amidst the uncertainties, we will remain mindful of the potential tariff- related impact and be prudent in our business planning going into second…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Tariff |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did TSMC say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 19, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does TSMC say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability TSMC says “Tariff” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP