Will TSMC say “Taiwan” 3+ times?
TSMC said “Taiwan” 4 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 21, 19, 6, 5, 13, 5, 5, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Taiwan” 3+ times on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 85% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
Taiwan 3+ times
- Probability
- 85% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…in progress. We are building 13 leading-edge and advanced packaging fab in Taiwan over the next several years, and another five to six fabs overseas.…
…support the robust multi-year pipeline or demand for 3 nm technologies. In Taiwan, volume production for our new 3 nm fab in Tainan Science Park…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…same time, we are building 13 leading-edge and advanced packaging fab in Taiwan over the next several years, and we will continue to further invest…
…our global plan to add three additional 3 nm fabs, one in Taiwan, one in Arizona, and one in Japan to support the robust multi-year…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…supply. In terms of energy, we work closely with Taipower and the Taiwan government to ensure a stable and sufficient energy supply. With the recent…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Taiwan 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did TSMC say “Taiwan” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC said “Taiwan” 4 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 21, 19, 6, 5, 13, 5, 5, 4 times.
- How often does TSMC say “Taiwan 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Taiwan” 3+ times on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability TSMC says “Taiwan 3+ times” next time?
- 85%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘Taiwan 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/taiwan-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=taiwan%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP