Will TSMC say “Profitable”?
TSMC said “Profitable” 1 time on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Profitable” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
Profitable
- Probability
- 83% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…CapEx spending in the next few years, we remain committed to delivering profitable growth to our shareholders. We also remain committed to a sustainable and…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…this level of CapEx spending in 2026, we remain committed to delivering profitable growth to our shareholders. We also remain committed to a sustainable and…
…how is that discussion going? Because you are no longer the most profitable semiconductor manufacturing company at this point in time. You probably have less…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…this level of CapEx spending in 2026, we remain committed to delivering profitable growth to our shareholders. We also remain committed to a sustainable and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Profitable |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did TSMC say “Profitable” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC said “Profitable” 1 time on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 1 times.
- How often does TSMC say “Profitable”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Profitable” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability TSMC says “Profitable” next time?
- 83%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘Profitable’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/profitable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=profitable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP