Will TSMC say “Arizona”?
TSMC said “Arizona” 6 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 28, 7, 8, 10, 5, 6, 6 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Arizona” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 94% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
Arizona
- Probability
- 94% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
6 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
We will leverage our increasing size in Arizona and work on our operations to improve the cost structure. We will also continue to work closely…
…Tainan. Volume production is scheduled for the first half of 2028. In Arizona, we have completed the construction of our second fab and are in…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…government, we would like to announce an additional $100 billion investment in Arizona. This is to build several more semiconductor logical wafer fab for 2…
…to add three additional 3 nm fabs, one in Taiwan, one in Arizona, and one in Japan to support the robust multi-year pipeline of demand…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Park. Volume production is scheduled for the first half of 2027. In Arizona, our second fab will also utilize 3 nm technologies. Construction is already…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did TSMC say “Arizona” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC said “Arizona” 6 times on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 28, 7, 8, 10, 5, 6, 6 times.
- How often does TSMC say “Arizona”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “Arizona” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability TSMC says “Arizona” next time?
- 94%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘Arizona’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/arizona (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=arizona · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP