Will TSMC say “A16”?
TSMC did not say “A16” on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 7, 7, 13, 5, 5, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “A16” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TSMC
A16
- Probability
- 68% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…AI applications. With our strategy of continuous enhancement, such as N2P and A16, we expect our N2 family to be another large and long-lasting node…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…industry for years to come. Last, let me talk about N2 and A16 status. Our 2-nanometer and A16 technologies lead the industry in addressing the…
…is scheduled for the second half of this year. We also introduced A16 featuring our best-in-class superpower rail or SPR. A16 is best suitable for…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…industry for years to come. Finally, let me talk about our end-to-end A16 status. Our 2-nanometer and A16 technologies lead the industry in addressing sizable…
…and volume production is scheduled for second half '26. We also introduced A16 featuring our best-in-class Super Power Rail or SPR. A16 is best suited…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | A16 |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did TSMC say “A16” on its last earnings call?
- TSMC did not say “A16” on its Oct 15, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 7, 7, 13, 5, 5, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does TSMC say “A16”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, TSMC said “A16” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability TSMC says “A16” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “TSMC: ‘A16’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSM/words/a16 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tsmc&word=a16 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tsmc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP