Will Tesla say “xAI”?

Tesla did not say “xAI” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 7, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “xAI” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Jan 27, 2027 · counts: company speakers
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers
Market
88¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

xAI

Probability
47% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Vaibhav TanejacompanyqaIn transcript

…things which we can do ourselves. But if there are things which XAI can help accelerate our progress, then why should we not do that?…

Vaibhav TanejacompanyqaIn transcript

…and means we can find efficient ways for others to help us, XAI literally fits into that mold. That's why we went ahead with it.

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

Yeah. There are different forms of AI. The XAI, so Grok is like a giant model. You could not possibly squeeze Grok onto a car.…

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

…size of Grok. They're really at the problem from very different angles. XAI and Grok are competing with Google Gemini and OpenAI ChatGPT and that…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers

7 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elon R. MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…by far. And I have a lot of insight into this with xAI. xAI is -- Grok is the smartest AI overall, but it's --…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 23, 2025xAIKalshiYes7

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “xAI” on its last earnings call?
Tesla did not say “xAI” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 7, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Tesla say “xAI”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “xAI” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2025.
What is the probability Tesla says “xAI” next time?
47%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘xAI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/xai (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=xai · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP