Will Tesla say “Rare Earth”?
Tesla did not say “Rare Earth” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Rare Earth” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Rare Earth
- Probability
- 34% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…say a rare hypothetical like a this is a hypothetical example. A rare earth ore refinery. Which we do desperately need in America. Then you'd…
Counts: named speaker only
1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…through that with China. Hopefully, we’ll get a license to use the rare earth magnets. China wants some assurances that these are not used for…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2025 | Rare Earth |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Rare Earth” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla did not say “Rare Earth” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Rare Earth”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Rare Earth” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Rare Earth” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Rare Earth’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/rare-earth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=rare%20earth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP