Will Tesla say “Iran”?
Tesla did not say “Iran” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Iran” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
13%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Iran
- Probability
- 13% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Iran |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Iran” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla did not say “Iran” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls.
- How often does Tesla say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Iran” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Iran” next time?
- 13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP