Will Tesla say “Berlin”?
Tesla said “Berlin” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Berlin” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Berlin
- Probability
- 50% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…and we applied for the proper permits to expand the factories in Berlin. As Elon also mentioned, we just started our new Semi factory in…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…already started in Q1. This volume increase is evidenced by the Giga Berlin reaching a record output of over 61,000 units in Q1. We plan…
Yeah, thanks, Vaibhav. As you guys may have seen in Berlin, we started launching a Model Y battery pack with our in-house 4680 cells a…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…tariffs and political biases by regionalizing part supply factories in North America, Berlin and Shanghai. For example, in North America, our high-volume vehicle programs have…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Berlin |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Berlin” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Berlin” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Berlin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Berlin” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Berlin” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Berlin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/berlin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=berlin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP