Will SpaceX say “Starshield”?
SpaceX said “Starshield” 4 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Starshield” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 74% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Starshield
- Probability
- 74% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…connectivity is quickly becoming table stakes for passengers. On the government side, Starshield continues to deliver unique mission-critical capabilities, and we see further room for…
…teams are scaling Starship and next-generation satellites across broadband, mobile, and Starshield, while our commercial teams expand Starlink across aviation, enterprise, government, and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Starshield |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Starshield” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Starshield” 4 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 4 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Starshield”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Starshield” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Starshield” next time?
- 74%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Starshield’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/starshield (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=starshield · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP