Will SpaceX say “Moon” 3+ times?
SpaceX said “Moon” 1 time on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on 1 of its last 2 calls: 8, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Moon” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Moon 3+ times
- Probability
- 58% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…build the space economy in orbit and on other planets and the moon. As Elon said, Starship Flight 14 was a major technical milestone, and…
Counts: anyone
8 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A).
…future but will come faster than you think, using robots on the Moon to scale up manufacturing on the Moon, which I know it sounds…
…on the Moon, and you have solar and radiator production on the Moon, you can I know this sounds totally nuts, but you can probably…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Moon 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Moon” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Moon” 1 time on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 3+ times on 1 of its last 2 calls: 8, 1 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Moon 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX said “Moon” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Moon 3+ times” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Moon 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/moon-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=moon%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP