Will SpaceX say “Merge / Merger”?
SpaceX said “Merge / Merger” 1 time on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Merge / Merger” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
SpaceX
Merge / Merger
- Probability
- 40% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…I think some people out there assume that a SpaceX and Tesla merger is a certainty, and I think that would be overstating it. Do…
…has been a lot of reporting, a lot of anticipation of a merger with Tesla. I realize you may be limited on what you can…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Merge / Merger |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did SpaceX say “Merge / Merger” on its last earnings call?
- SpaceX said “Merge / Merger” 1 time on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 2 calls: 0, 1 times.
- How often does SpaceX say “Merge / Merger”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, SpaceX did not say “Merge / Merger” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability SpaceX says “Merge / Merger” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Merge / Merger’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/merge-or-merger (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=merge%20%2F%20merger · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP