Will Snap say “China”?

Snap did not say “China” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Snap did not say “China” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

13%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Snap

China

Probability
13% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 6, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Derek AndersencompanyqaIn transcript

…Derek speaking on the second parts of your question there. On the China based advertisers, we don't really break it down at that level of…

Derek AndersencompanyqaIn transcript

…growth of the business, and go from there. So hopefully, that gives you a little bit more color on the China based side of things.

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 3, 2026ChinaKalshiNo0
Feb 4, 2026ChinaKalshiNo0
Nov 5, 2025ChinaKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Snap say “China” on its last earnings call?
Snap did not say “China” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Snap say “China”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Snap did not say “China” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025.
What is the probability Snap says “China” next time?
13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Snap: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SNAP/words/china (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=snap&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=snap&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP