Will Starbucks say “Pumpkin Spice”?
Starbucks said “Pumpkin Spice” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks did not say “Pumpkin Spice” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Starbucks
Pumpkin Spice
- Probability
- 27% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
We'll mark the return of fall with our iconic Pumpkin Spice Latte and kick off the holidays with our fan favorite Peppermint Mocha. We'll keep…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…course, we'll continue to own our hit seasons like fall with the Pumpkin Spice Latte and holiday. Our rewards program is a huge asset for…
…we have a strong fall platform, including the return of our popular Pumpkin Spice Latte that overlays the transformative work taking place on the company,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Pumpkin Spice |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Pumpkin Spice |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Pumpkin Spice | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Starbucks say “Pumpkin Spice” on its last earnings call?
- Starbucks said “Pumpkin Spice” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Starbucks say “Pumpkin Spice”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks did not say “Pumpkin Spice” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Starbucks says “Pumpkin Spice” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Starbucks: ‘Pumpkin Spice’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SBUX/words/pumpkin-spice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=starbucks&word=pumpkin%20spice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=starbucks&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP