Will NVIDIA say “China” 5+ times?

NVIDIA said “China” 2 times on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and 5+ times on 4 of its last 8 calls: 3, 4, 20, 12, 5, 6, 2, 2 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on NVIDIA saying “China” 5+ times has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.

32%from transcript modelNext: Earnings call, Nov 17, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
54¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NVIDIA

China (5+ times)

Probability
32% · n=0
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 26, 2026 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Colette Kresscompanyprepared · 22:10Hear it 22:04, Colette Kress In transcript

…less than 1% of our total data center revenue in Hopper 200 products to customers based in China in accordance with the U.S. government licenses.

Every match in the transcript

FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 20, 2026 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Colette Kresscompanyprepared · 15:02Hear it 14:57, Colette Kress In transcript

…the U.S. government has approved licenses for H200 to be shipped to China-based customers, we have yet to generate any revenue. We are uncertain whether…

Ben Reitzesanalystqa · 28:11Hear it 28:09, Ben Reitzes In transcript

…to ask you about your philosophy on growth. Your Data Center business, ex-China, grew about 120% in the quarter, and then you're guiding about 100%.…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Colette KresscompanypreparedIn transcript

…AI proportional to their GDP. While small amounts of H200 products for China-based customers were approved by the U.S. government, we have yet to generate…

Colette KresscompanypreparedIn transcript

…be the platform for choice for every commercial business, including those in China. We will continue to engage with the U.S. and China government and…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 27, 2025 · said 12 times (counts)

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 28, 2025 · said 20 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2025 · said 4 times (below the threshold)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2024 · said 3 times (below the threshold)

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Questions

How many times did NVIDIA say “China” on its last earnings call?
NVIDIA said “China” 2 times on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and 5+ times on 4 of its last 8 calls: 3, 4, 20, 12, 5, 6, 2, 2 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘China (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/china-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=china%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP