Will NVIDIA say “China”?
NVIDIA said “China” 2 times on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 5, 27, 15, 5, 6, 3, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA said “China” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 26, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 91% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 23¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NVIDIA
China
- Probability
- 91% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…less than 1% of our total data center revenue in Hopper 200 products to customers based in China in accordance with the U.S. government licenses.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the U.S. government has approved licenses for H200 to be shipped to China-based customers, we have yet to generate any revenue. We are uncertain whether…
…to ask you about your philosophy on growth. Your Data Center business, ex-China, grew about 120% in the quarter, and then you're guiding about 100%.…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…AI proportional to their GDP. While small amounts of H200 products for China-based customers were approved by the U.S. government, we have yet to generate…
…be the platform for choice for every commercial business, including those in China. We will continue to engage with the U.S. and China government and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did NVIDIA say “China” on its last earnings call?
- NVIDIA said “China” 2 times on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 5, 27, 15, 5, 6, 3, 2 times.
- How often does NVIDIA say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA said “China” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 26, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026.
- What is the probability NVIDIA says “China” next time?
- 91%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP