Nebius (NBIS)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 59 word markets on Nebius’ earnings calls since 2025, on 18 different words. Next call: Nov 10, 2026 (17 words listed).
| Word | Q4’21Feb '22 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 8 times: Cash, Q4’21 Feb '22, counts as said | 1 time: Cash, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: Cash, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Cash, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Cash, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 12 times: Cash, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 10 times: Cash, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 9 times: Cash, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 45/4796% | 95%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 53¢ Kalshi |
| Gigawatt | 0 times: Gigawatt, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 1 time: Gigawatt, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Gigawatt, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Gigawatt, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 16 times: Gigawatt, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 9 times: Gigawatt, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Gigawatt, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Gigawatt, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 4/850% | 7/4715% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Token | 0 times: Token, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Token, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Token, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Token, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 3 times: Token, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 4 times: Token, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 10 times: Token, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 10 times: Token, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 4/479% | 89%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 50¢ Kalshi |
| Meta | 0 times: Meta, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Meta, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Meta, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Meta, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 9 times: Meta, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 7 times: Meta, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 23 times: Meta, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Meta, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 4/479% | 81%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Hyperscaler | 0 times: Hyperscaler, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Hyperscaler, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 2 times: Hyperscaler, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Hyperscaler, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Hyperscaler, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 4 times: Hyperscaler, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Hyperscaler, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Hyperscaler, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 1/812% | 5/4711% | 79%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Blackwell | 0 times: Blackwell, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 19 times: Blackwell, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 12 times: Blackwell, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 8 times: Blackwell, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Blackwell, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Blackwell, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Blackwell, Q1’26 May '26 | 4 times: Blackwell, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 5/862% | 5/862% | 5/4711% | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Vera Rubin | 0 times: Vera Rubin, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Vera Rubin, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Vera Rubin, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Vera Rubin, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Vera Rubin, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Vera Rubin, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 4 times: Vera Rubin, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Vera Rubin, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 0/80% | 2/474% | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Nvidia | 0 times: Nvidia, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 3 times: Nvidia, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 19 times: Nvidia, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 9 times: Nvidia, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Nvidia, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Nvidia, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 11 times: Nvidia, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Nvidia, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 5/862% | 4/850% | 5/4711% | 58%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| TripleTen / Triple Ten | 0 times: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 3 times: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: TripleTen / Triple Ten, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 4/850% | 3/838% | 4/479% | 56%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| ClickHouse / Click House | 1 time: ClickHouse / Click House, Q4’21 Feb '22, counts as said | 1 time: ClickHouse / Click House, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: ClickHouse / Click House, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: ClickHouse / Click House, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: ClickHouse / Click House, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 3 times: ClickHouse / Click House, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: ClickHouse / Click House, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: ClickHouse / Click House, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 6/875% | 5/862% | 7/4715% | 52%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Convertible | 0 times: Convertible, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Convertible, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Convertible, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Convertible, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Convertible, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Convertible, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Convertible, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Convertible, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 21/4745% | 50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Aether | 0 times: Aether, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Aether, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Aether, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Aether, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Aether, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Aether, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Aether, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Aether, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 2/474% | 35%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Pennsylvania | 0 times: Pennsylvania, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Pennsylvania, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Pennsylvania, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Pennsylvania, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Pennsylvania, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Pennsylvania, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 4 times: Pennsylvania, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Pennsylvania, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/472% | 32%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Neocloud | 0 times: Neocloud, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 1 time: Neocloud, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Neocloud, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Neocloud, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Neocloud, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Neocloud, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Neocloud, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Neocloud, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 1/812% | 3/476% | 24%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 37¢ Kalshi |
| Robotic / Robotics | 0 times: Robotic / Robotics, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Robotic / Robotics, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Robotic / Robotics, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Robotic / Robotics, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Robotic / Robotics, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Robotic / Robotics, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Robotic / Robotics, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Robotic / Robotics, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 2/474% | 19%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 50¢ Kalshi |
| Uber | 2 times: Uber, Q4’21 Feb '22, counts as said | 4 times: Uber, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Uber, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Uber, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Uber, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Uber, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Uber, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Uber, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 4/850% | 2/825% | 15/4732% | 17%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| 0 times: Google, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Google, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Google, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Google, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Google, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Google, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Google, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Google, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 23/4749% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 32¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:43 UTC.
Every word
1–1 of 1, most settled first| Word | Q4’21Feb '22 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | 0 times: Microsoft, Q4’21 Feb '22 | 0 times: Microsoft, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Microsoft, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Microsoft, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 11 times: Microsoft, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 9 times: Microsoft, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 9 times: Microsoft, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Microsoft, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 13/4728% | 84%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 57 of 59 settled words resolved (96.6%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 17 | 8 yes · 9 no | 17/17 (100%) |
| May 13, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 7 yes · 3 no | 9/10 (90%) |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 22 | 12 yes · 10 no | 22/22 (100%) |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 5 yes · 5 no | 9/10 (90%) |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 20, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 15, 2022 | Earnings call FY21 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Earnings call FY21 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Earnings call FY21 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Earnings call FY21 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Earnings call FY20 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Nebius (NBIS): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NBIS (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/nebius · words: /api/v1/history?entity=nebius · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP