Will Micron say “China”?
Micron said “China” 2 times on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron said “China” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 20, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Micron
China
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
On the first question, yes, our exposure to China has been reducing over the last couple of years and the last several quarters. We expect…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…output, the overwhelming majority of their output tends to be sold within China. We haven't really seen much by way of their product or competition…
…talking very constructively about. I'm curious how you've evolved your thoughts around China and the competition from either be it CXMT or YMTC. Have you…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…that would be subject to newly announced tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. We continue to monitor the possibility of future tariffs and are prepared…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Micron say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Micron said “China” 2 times on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2 times.
- How often does Micron say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron said “China” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 20, 2025.
- What is the probability Micron says “China” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Micron: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MU/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=micron&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=micron&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP