Will Microsoft say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
Microsoft did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 14% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), or on any of its last 8 calls.
- How often does Microsoft say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 14%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP