Will Microsoft say “Dividend”?

Microsoft said “Dividend” 1 time on its Oct 28, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1 times. As of Nov 11, 2026, Microsoft said “Dividend” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 76% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

76%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Dividend

Probability
76% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY27 Q1 earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Amy HoodcompanypreparedIn transcript

Finally, we returned $10.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Now to our segment results, reported under the updated segment structure announced in…

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Amy Hoodcompanyprepared · 23:24Hear it 23:20, Amy Hood In transcript

…reflecting higher capital expenditures. Finally, we returned $10.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, bringing our total cash return to shareholders to over…

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Amy HoodcompanypreparedIn transcript

…reflecting higher capital expenditures. Finally, we returned $10.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Now to our commercial results. Commercial bookings grew 7%…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 28, 2026DividendPolymarketYes1

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “Dividend” 1 time on its Oct 28, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Dividend”?
As of Nov 11, 2026, Microsoft said “Dividend” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 28, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Dividend” next time?
76%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Nov 11, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=dividend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP