Will Meta say “Silicon”?

Meta did not say “Silicon” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 8, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Silicon” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

48%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 27, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
29¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Meta

Silicon

Probability
48% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Susan Licompanyprepared · 27:48Hear it 27:43, Susan Li In transcript

…we have been making strategic investments in areas like our internal custom silicon effort, which will provide long-term strategic flexibility and supply chain leverage. This…

Mark Shmulikanalystqa · 39:16Hear it 39:13, Mark Shmulik In transcript

…the question. Mark, everyone's got a story of someone coming back from Silicon Valley, deep writing code, building agents with AI, then they head home,…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Mark ZuckerbergcompanypreparedIn transcript

…we are rolling out more than 1 GW of our own custom silicon that we're developing with Broadcom, as well as significant amount of AMD…

Susan LicompanyqaIn transcript

…advances in the model architecture and co-designed the system with the underlying silicon so it maintains the sub-second speed that is required to serve ads…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Mark Elliot ZuckerbergcompanypreparedIn transcript

…world. An important part of MetaCompute will be making long-term investments in silicon and energy. We will continue working with key partners while advancing our…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026SiliconPolymarketNo0
Oct 21, 2026SiliconKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026SiliconPolymarketYes2
Jul 29, 2026SiliconKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Meta say “Silicon” on its last earnings call?
Meta did not say “Silicon” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 8, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 0 times.
How often does Meta say “Silicon”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Silicon” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Meta says “Silicon” next time?
48%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘Silicon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/silicon (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=silicon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP